Jason’s Takes on This Week’s 20VC x Saa Str: The Agents Never Suggested Canva, The Meme You Can’t Outrun, and Why I Only Underwrite Founders Now | Saa Str AI
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Jason’s Takes on This Week’s 20VC x Saa Str: The Agents Never Suggested Canva, The Meme You Can’t Outrun, and Why I Only Underwrite Founders Now
My cut on what Canva’s drop to 20% growth means if you’re running a pre-AI product, hiring against Anthropic, or holding a mark you set in 2021.
Canva cutting 2026 growth from 30% to 20% was the headline. The part I keep thinking about is smaller than the number and worse. We churned Canva at Saa Str. We churned Notion too. Neither did anything wrong, and neither of them lost a bake-off. We just stopped having a need for them, and then our agents built an entire ad creative operation without either ever coming up.
1. Run the agent test on your own product. Will your agents … pick it?
We built our own ad server and creative generation network at Saa Str. It runs on our agents. Not once did the agent think to use Canva for any of it, and Canva is a product I paid for and liked. If I were running any prosumer or self-serve product right now, I’d give an agent the job my product does, with no instruction to use me, and watch what it reaches for.
My learning → You can win back a customer who churned to a competitor. There’s nothing to win back when you were never in the running.
2. If your product existed to help people skip a specialist, that job is closing
Airtable was a no-code database dressed as a spreadsheet. Notion is one dressed as a word processor. Canva was a no-code way to design, and it was a genuinely disruptive product because I no longer needed a designer or any HTML. The entire category of “what humans can do without engineering resources” is winding down, because AI does that natively now.
My learning → Being the workaround for a missing skill was a great 15-year business, and it’s shrinking now.
3. The enterprise version of this is coming, just slower
The Gartner data suggests fewer than 10% of enterprises have successfully deployed an agentic application. I believe that, even standing at a big Salesforce event surrounded by the opposite message. The hot enterprise AI companies are still serving early adopters and outliers. On the prosumer side there’s no lag at all, because everyone is already Chat GPT-fluent.
My learning → Selling to the enterprise buys you a few quarters of cover, not a few years.
4. You can’t argue with a meme once it takes hold, you can only outgrow it
The dumbest AI meme of the past two years is that everyone will vibe code their own CRM. It makes no sense for 99.9% of the world. You can’t maintain it, you can’t build the integrations, and most people saying it have never used a CRM. It took hold anyway, the shorts jumped on it, and now it’s priced in. If I were Canva I’d be worried about the same thing happening with “you can make a poster in Chat GPT for free.”
My learning → Get in front of the story early. Once it’s a meme, only revenue growth moves it.
5. After Airtable and Canva, I’m marking valuations down harder
These are two events that quietly hit old marks and are very hard to hide behind. Honestly, most people should have marked both down last year. “We raised at
My learning → If you can’t defend a mark with a current growth rate, you’re carrying a memory, not a valuation.
6. On selling early, my own history says 50/50, and the fund math says hold
I ran the analysis across everything I’ve been involved with, angel and venture, on where I should have sold and where I should have held. It broke roughly 50/50, which surprised me. It still doesn’t change what I do, because I have three fund returners and my LPs are underwriting a 5x, 6x or 8x fund. Trim those and the math stops working. The blended exit argument sounds great on X, and it works far better at scale than it does for a smaller fund.
My learning → Trimming protects your average outcome and kills your outlier. Know which one your LPs are paying for.
7. Being invisible inside a great company is a real reason to leave
I was an SVP at Adobe running the number three business unit. We were doing $800M and it may as well have been zero. You sit with 50 other VPs and never get to talk about what you’re building. I’d read Jeff Dean leaving Google after 27 years the same way. If your work sits permanently third in line for compute behind Cloud and Gemini, and you can take your whole team and raise a billion dollars to do exactly what you want, you go.
My learning → Your best people rarely leave over money. They leave over being third on the agenda.
8. You need an S-tier for comp in the Age of AI, and it will be uncomfortable
There used to be two comp bands: normal people and AI people. Now there’s a third. The CEOs I work with informally at
My learning → The Anthropic comp signal isn’t going away. Build the tier on purpose or lose those people quietly.
The old test was “did you get an offer from Google,” which told you someone was top 5%. The new one is “did you get an offer from Anthropic or Open AI, and what was the job?” A lot of those seven-figure roles are watermarking, or getting the pulse animation right for 18 months. Interview enough people and you’ll find the ones who’d genuinely rather build LLMs for accounting.
My learning → You won’t outbid the labs. You can out-interest them for a certain kind of person.
10. Founder-run is close to the only thing I underwrite now
Most of the investments I’ve made that aren’t run by a founder are going to be zeros in this era, at
My learning → In a platform shift you’re underwriting willingness to rebuild the company from scratch. Almost nobody who didn’t found it has that.
"Any investment I've made that is not run by a founder is going to be a zero in this age. If the price of me not having a zero is getting Nick to 40%, I wish I was a shareholder. That's the price I'm gonna pay in a heartbeat. I believe every non-founder has run my portfolio… https://t.co/Gx PZG0obz S pic.twitter.com/O0 Eh Az ISBt — Harry Stebbings (@Harry Stebbings) August 13, 2026
"Any investment I've made that is not run by a founder is going to be a zero in this age.
If the price of me not having a zero is getting Nick to 40%, I wish I was a shareholder. That's the price I'm gonna pay in a heartbeat.
I believe every non-founder has run my portfolio… https://t.co/Gx PZG0obz S pic.twitter.com/O0 Eh Az ISBt
— Harry Stebbings (@Harry Stebbings) August 13, 2026
I’m running the agent test on everything we pay for at Saa Str AI and on the products at companies where I sit on the board. Most of them are good products, so that isn’t the question. The question is whether an agent would ever choose one. That already sorted Canva and Notion out of our stack before we consciously decided anything.
Jason’s Takes is the Saa Str AI companion to our weekly 20VC x Saa Str recap with Harry Stebbings and Rory O’Driscoll.
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Key Takeaways
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AI VC AI Mentor: Digital Jason + Amelia AI Startup Benchmarking
-
AI Agent Playbook Free e Books
e Book: Hiring a Great VP of Sales e Book: Raising Capital e Book: The First $1m ARR -
University All Posts Podcasts The Top CROs VC Fundraising Top Videos Q&A Best of Saa Str #1 Bestselling Book Search Everything Join the Community
-
Free e Books
e Book: Hiring a Great VP of Sales e Book: Raising Capital e Book: The First $1m ARR -
AI Annual 2026 Events Overview Sponsors
Event Sponsorship Media Sponsorship



