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Trump's ICE Militarization Has Made Proud Boys Obsolete [2025]

How Trump's weaponization of federal immigration enforcement has eliminated the need for far-right militias. A deep dive into shifting extremist tactics and...

extremismfar-right militiaICE immigration enforcementTrump administrationwhite nationalist+10 more
Trump's ICE Militarization Has Made Proud Boys Obsolete [2025]
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The Obsolescence of Street Militias in the Age of Weaponized Federal Power

There's a strange paradox playing out in American politics right now, one that most mainstream media outlets have completely missed. For years, the Proud Boys positioned themselves as street-level muscle for Trump's movement. They showed up to protests. They intimidated opponents. They created a visual presence at rallies and counter-protests. They were the boots on the ground when Trump needed intimidation without official accountability.

But something fundamental has shifted. Not because the Proud Boys disbanded or lost interest in Trump's agenda. Rather, the entire function they served has been absorbed by the federal government itself.

When immigration agents start shooting American citizens in the streets without warning, when federal enforcement becomes indistinguishable from extrajudicial violence, when the state apparatus itself has become the instrument of political intimidation—well, there's simply no market for freelance extremists anymore. The government has outsourced fear. And that changes everything.

This isn't hyperbole. This is what happens when a sitting administration explicitly signals to white nationalist movements that it shares their worldview, while simultaneously weaponizing the machinery of federal law enforcement. The Proud Boys didn't disappear because they lost faith in Trump. They became redundant because Trump has effectively become their enforcer.

The death of Renee Nicole Good in Minneapolis, shot by a masked federal agent, exposed this brutal transformation. And the Proud Boys' response—posting memes instead of mobilizing—reveals how thoroughly the political landscape has shifted. The street militia that once saw itself as essential to Trump's project now finds itself watching from the sidelines as the government does the dirty work.

This article examines how state militarization has rendered traditional far-right extremist groups strategically unnecessary, what this means for the future of political violence in America, and why understanding this dynamic is crucial for anyone paying attention to where our democracy is heading.

TL; DR

  • Federal Militarization Has Made Militias Redundant: When immigration agents operate with minimal oversight and legal accountability, far-right groups like the Proud Boys lose their primary function of street-level intimidation and enforcement.
  • Trump's Embrace of White Nationalist Rhetoric Signals Alignment: Direct coded messaging from DHS using white nationalist symbology ("By God We'll Have Our Home Again") proves the administration is communicating explicitly with extremist movements.
  • The Proud Boys Are Now Posting Memes Instead of Mobilizing: Analysis of hundreds of Telegram channels shows virtually no calls to action or street mobilization following the Minneapolis shooting, only celebration and mockery of the victim.
  • State Violence Has Replaced Militia Violence: The militarization of ICE and Border Patrol has created a federally-sanctioned enforcement apparatus that eliminates the need for unofficial extremist groups to provide muscle.
  • This Represents a Fundamental Shift in How Political Violence Operates: Rather than street militias committing violence with plausible deniability, we're seeing state institutions committing violence with official endorsement and coded ideological approval.

TL; DR - visual representation
TL; DR - visual representation

Perceived Threat Levels: State-Aligned vs. Independent Militias
Perceived Threat Levels: State-Aligned vs. Independent Militias

State-aligned extremism is perceived as more dangerous due to its access to resources and legal protection, compared to independent militias. Estimated data.

How the Proud Boys Functioned During Trump's First Term

To understand why the Proud Boys have become obsolete, you need to first understand what they were actually doing during Trump's first administration. They weren't some random street gang. They were a highly organized political militia designed to serve specific tactical functions within Trump's ecosystem.

During 2020 and 2021, the Proud Boys appeared at virtually every major Trump rally and counter-protest situation. But their presence wasn't incidental. They were there for specific reasons: to intimidate left-wing protesters, to project strength and dominance, to create visual evidence that Trump had "support," and crucially, to operate in a legal gray zone where they could commit violence with minimal federal consequences.

They showed up to anti-lockdown protests, lending their presence to make these movements look more organized and serious. They appeared at school board meetings where parents were protesting mask mandates and curriculum decisions. Most importantly, they faced off against Black Lives Matter protesters in scenes that made it onto conservative media as evidence of a "culture war" between two equivalent sides.

The key word is "equivalent." When Proud Boys fought BLM protesters, it created a false equivalence in the media narrative. Two sides fighting in the streets. Neither one clearly good or bad. Just Americans disagreeing. This framing was essential to Trump's political project because it normalized his positions by presenting them as one option among many, worthy of street-level defense.

The Proud Boys also served an important function for the Trump movement's legal strategy. When violence occurred, there was plausible deniability. Trump could claim he never called for violence. The Proud Boys were independent actors. Trump had no control over what they did. Meanwhile, Trump's rhetoric about "standing back and standing by" provided exactly the kind of coded encouragement that activated these groups without creating clear legal liability.

After January 6, when Proud Boys leaders were convicted and jailed for their role in the Capitol attack, it appeared their moment had passed. Internal leadership conflicts, legal vulnerabilities, and the loss of Trump's official platform made them look like a spent force. Many observers predicted the organization would dissolve under legal pressure.

But Trump's return to power signaled a potential comeback. His promise to pardon January 6 participants was directed at groups like the Proud Boys. A reinvigorated Trump administration, presumably, would need street-level support again. The political conditions seemed set for a Proud Boys resurgence.

Instead, something unexpected happened.

The Minneapolis Shooting and the Absence of Militia Response

On a cold day in Minneapolis, a federal immigration agent shot and killed Renee Nicole Good. The details matter less than the pattern: a masked federal agent, minimal transparency, no immediate accountability, and a victim described as having been involved in a struggle with enforcement personnel.

This was exactly the kind of situation that should have triggered a Proud Boys response. Police violence against a civilian should theoretically activate militia groups that position themselves as defenders against state overreach. Except it didn't.

Instead, what you saw across hundreds of Proud Boy Telegram channels was something entirely different: celebration. Members posted memes mocking the victim. Some channels shared grotesque AI-generated images. The tone wasn't anger at federal overreach or concern about justice. It was glee. Excitement. A sense of validation that the Trump administration was doing what they'd always wanted the government to do: use force against perceived enemies with minimal constraint.

This is the crucial detail that reveals the entire dynamic has shifted. The Proud Boys didn't mobilize to protest federal violence. They mobilized to celebrate it. Because from their perspective, federal violence directed at people they oppose isn't a problem to be solved. It's a victory to be cheered.

When heavily armed federal agents are already doing the intimidation, already doing the targeting, already doing the violence—and doing it with the explicit approval of the administration—there's simply no market for freelance extremists. The Proud Boys would be stepping on the toes of their own ideological allies.

Former Proud Boys leader Enrique Tarrio did offer to provide security for right-wing influencers filming pro-ICE propaganda in Minneapolis. But even this reveal something crucial: the Proud Boys weren't positioning themselves against federal overreach. They were positioning themselves in service to it, offering to protect the people promoting federal violence.

This is the moment when the Proud Boys transitioned from being an independent political militia to being a redundant auxiliary of state power. They're not leading anymore. They're following. And following a state apparatus that's more efficient, more militarized, and more willing to use force than they ever were.

The Minneapolis Shooting and the Absence of Militia Response - visual representation
The Minneapolis Shooting and the Absence of Militia Response - visual representation

Proud Boys' Organizational Focus
Proud Boys' Organizational Focus

Estimated data shows that the Proud Boys' focus has shifted primarily towards cultural identity, with significant portions also rebranding as community groups or leaning into extremist ideology.

The Explicit Coded Messaging Between Administration and Extremists

One of the most damning aspects of this entire situation is how explicitly the administration has signaled its alignment with white nationalist ideology. This isn't dog-whistling anymore. It's not even hidden. It's coded, yes, but the code is simple enough that anyone paying attention can read it.

The Department of Homeland Security's official X account posted a graphic encouraging people to join ICE. The caption read: "We'll have our home again." To a mainstream reader, this means immigration enforcement is going to make America safe and secure. It's standard political messaging.

But to white nationalists and Proud Boys chapters—and DHS absolutely knew this—those words carry specific meaning. "By God We'll Have Our Home Again" is a song, set to a 19th-century sea shanty melody, that has become popular in white nationalist circles. It's been adopted by Proud Boy chapters specifically. It appears in their propaganda and messaging. It's one of their coded symbols.

So when DHS posted those exact words, they weren't accidentally using extremist language. The administration knew exactly what it was doing. It was sending a direct message to white nationalist movements: We're on your team. We speak your language. We understand your grievances. We're going to enforce the policies you've been advocating for.

Enrique Tarrio responded immediately: "The official track of the Proud Boys." He understood the message perfectly. And so did every other Proud Boy reading those channels.

When confronted about this, a DHS spokesperson responded with a dismissal that itself reveals awareness of the problem. Instead of explaining the historical reference or claiming ignorance, they attacked critics for "calling everything you dislike Nazi propaganda." The defense wasn't "we didn't mean it that way." It was "we don't care if you think it's extremist language because we're going to use it anyway."

This is what weaponized state power looks like when it's aligned with ideological extremism. It's not subtle. It's not deniable in any meaningful way. It's just brazenly expressed with the confidence that comes from controlling the executive branch.

For the Proud Boys, this messaging is better than any street action could be. It's official. It's from the government. It provides legitimacy and cover. They don't need to storm the streets defending ICE when the government is explicitly signaling that ICE is operating according to white nationalist principles.

How State Militarization Eliminates the Need for Independent Militias

There's an important political science principle at work here that doesn't get enough attention. When state institutions become sufficiently militarized and willing to use force without legal constraint, independent militia groups become strategically redundant.

Historically, far-right militia movements have filled a specific political function: they've provided plausible deniability for state violence. When non-state actors commit violence against political opponents, the government can claim it's not responsible. The militia acted independently. The state had no control. Meanwhile, the violence still achieves its political objectives.

This arrangement is actually quite efficient from a state power perspective. You get the violence you want without the legal and political blowback of the state committing it directly. Private militias do the dirty work. The government maintains official neutrality.

But when state institutions themselves become willing to use force without constraint—when federal agents can shoot civilians in the street with no immediate accountability, when immigration enforcement operates in a legal gray zone where civil liberties protections don't apply, when the entire apparatus of federal power is directed toward a specific ideological outcome—then the militia becomes unnecessary.

Why would extremists go to the trouble of organizing street-level violence when the government is already doing it for them? Why would the Proud Boys mobilize to intimidate protesters when ICE is already using force against populations the Proud Boys oppose?

This is the political equilibrium that's developed. The state has absorbed the militia function. ICE has become what the Proud Boys always wanted to be: an unrestricted enforcement apparatus willing to use violence against specific populations without significant legal consequence.

The militarization of immigration enforcement serves multiple functions simultaneously. It addresses the administration's policy goals around immigration. It signals strength and dominance to the base. It eliminates the need for parallel extremist organizations. And it does all of this while maintaining the fiction of legality and democratic process.

From the Proud Boys' perspective, this is actually ideal. They get their desired policies implemented without the legal risk of direct participation. They get state-level enforcement without having to organize it themselves. The only downside is that they're no longer necessary, which is precisely why they've largely withdrawn from street-level activity.

How State Militarization Eliminates the Need for Independent Militias - visual representation
How State Militarization Eliminates the Need for Independent Militias - visual representation

The Shift From Militia Violence to State Violence

Understanding this transition requires grappling with how political violence actually operates in advanced democracies. It's rarely crude. It's usually coded, distributed across multiple institutional actors, and designed to maintain legal deniability even as it achieves its political objectives.

During Trump's first term, we saw militia violence operate at the street level while the state maintained official neutrality. Proud Boys would clash with left-wing protesters. Police would stand by. The media would cover it as "both sides." And crucially, Trump never explicitly endorsed the militia violence, even as his rhetoric clearly encouraged it.

This arrangement allowed for significant political violence while maintaining the appearance of democratic process and rule of law. Militias did the dirty work. The state stood back. And the narrative frame suggested these were just Americans disagreeing.

But this system has a problem: it requires organized militia groups that are willing to take on legal risk. The Proud Boys and similar organizations eventually face prosecution. Their leaders go to jail. The organization becomes unstable. And there's always political cost to appearing to endorse non-state violence, even through coded language.

The current administration has essentially solved this problem by absorbing the militia function into state institutions. Instead of Proud Boys intimidating protesters, ICE does it. Instead of militia violence creating a climate of fear around immigration enforcement, state violence does it. Instead of extremist groups providing muscle, federal agents do it.

The advantage of this approach is that it's state violence, which comes with legal protections, institutional cover, and the full authority of government. When a federal agent shoots someone, there are legal processes and internal investigations. When a Proud Boy shoots someone, it's clearly a crime. The state can defend its violence through bureaucratic and legal mechanisms. Non-state actors can't.

This is a crucial upgrade from the administration's perspective. They get the violence they want, but they get it delivered through the government apparatus, which provides legitimacy and legal cover.

For the Proud Boys, this creates the paradoxical situation we're seeing: they're getting exactly the policies they want, they're seeing their ideological allies in power, and they're watching the government implement the enforcement mechanisms they've always advocated for. But they're no longer needed to make it happen.

Potential Impact of Resistance Strategies
Potential Impact of Resistance Strategies

Popular resistance is estimated to be the most effective strategy against state power, despite challenges in organization and potential state violence. Estimated data.

White Nationalist Ideology and Immigration Enforcement Integration

The explicit integration of white nationalist ideology into immigration enforcement is perhaps the most dangerous aspect of this situation. And it's happening openly, without any attempt at concealment.

Immigration enforcement has always had discriminatory elements. But historically, it was framed around border security, rule of law, and national sovereignty. These are generic political concepts that don't inherently require white nationalist ideology.

But the current administration has explicitly framed immigration enforcement through a white nationalist lens. The messaging is clear: America belongs to a specific racial and cultural group, and immigration represents an invasion that threatens that group's dominance.

This isn't incidental to the enforcement policy. It's central to it. The administration isn't just enforcing immigration law. It's enforcing a specific ideological vision of who belongs in America and who doesn't.

When DHS posts white nationalist song references, when the administration's messaging explicitly channels white nationalist rhetoric, when federal enforcement is visibly directed at specific racial and ethnic groups—this isn't law enforcement anymore. This is state-sponsored racial governance.

And the Proud Boys recognize this immediately. This is what they've been advocating for. This is why they're not mobilizing in opposition or even in parallel. The government is implementing their ideology. There's nothing more they need to do.

The danger here extends beyond the Proud Boys. When state institutions are explicitly organized around white nationalist ideology, when federal power is deployed in service of that ideology, when there's coded communication between the state and extremist movements—this is the machinery of authoritarian government installing itself.

The Proud Boys are irrelevant not because they've been defeated or because their ideology has been rejected. They're irrelevant because the state has adopted their ideology and is now implementing it through institutional power.

White Nationalist Ideology and Immigration Enforcement Integration - visual representation
White Nationalist Ideology and Immigration Enforcement Integration - visual representation

The Role of Right-Wing Influencers as Propaganda Apparatus

One detail that's crucial to understanding this dynamic is the role of right-wing influencers in producing pro-ICE propaganda. Nick Sortor, Cam Higby, and similar figures have been producing a steady stream of content portraying ICE operations as heroic, necessary, and effective.

This is what state propaganda looks like in a decentralized media environment. The administration doesn't need to control all media. It just needs to ensure that friendly influencers are constantly producing content that supports its narrative.

These influencers position themselves as independent journalists. They're not getting official direction. They're just covering what's happening. But their entire framing—what they choose to highlight, what they choose to downplay, how they narrate events—all of it serves the administration's messaging objectives.

When Tarrio offered to provide security for these influencers, he was positioning the Proud Boys not as an independent militia, but as auxiliary law enforcement serving the same propaganda objectives as the state itself.

This is a crucial detail because it shows how the Proud Boys are transitioning from being autonomous actors to being components of a larger propaganda and enforcement apparatus centered on the state.

The influencers create the narrative. The federal agents provide the violence. The Proud Boys provide security and muscle when needed. And the whole system operates within a framework of coded ideological communication that ties all the pieces together.

What's remarkable is how openly this is happening. There's no attempt at secrecy. DHS is posting extremist messaging. The administration is implementing white nationalist policy. Influencers are producing propaganda. Federal agents are using force. And everyone involved understands perfectly what they're doing and why.

The Proud Boys aren't needed to organize this. It's already organized. They're just auxiliary participants in a system that's already in place.

Internal Instability and the Absence of Charismatic Leadership

It's worth noting that the Proud Boys have faced significant internal challenges that compound their strategic obsolescence. The convictions of their leadership on seditious conspiracy charges left the organization without effective command structure.

Enrique Tarrio, the most visible leader, remains in prison serving a lengthy sentence related to January 6. Other senior leaders are also incarcerated. The organization has experienced reported infighting, splits, and loss of momentum that would normally be concerning for a militia group.

But here's the thing: these internal problems matter much less now because the group doesn't need to be organized. There's no specific action that requires coordination. No mission that demands leadership. The members can simply observe what the government is doing and cheer it on.

In fact, the decentralization might be strategically beneficial. Without clear leadership, the group can't be held accountable for the actions of its members. Members can act independently while maintaining loose affiliation with the brand. This provides both flexibility and legal protection.

Some Proud Boy chapters have attempted to rebrand as civic organizations or community groups, trying to distance themselves from the more extreme associations. Others have leaned fully into extremist ideology. The organization lacks the coherence and discipline that would normally characterize a functioning militia.

But again, this doesn't matter much when the organization's primary function is to exist as a cultural identity marker rather than as an operational entity. The members can identify as Proud Boys, participate in Telegram channels, post memes and celebrate state violence—all without requiring organizational coordination or leadership direction.

This actually makes the group both more dangerous and less vulnerable. It's harder to prosecute decentralized networks of individuals than it is to prosecute organized hierarchies. And culturally, the Proud Boys brand becomes a way for extremists to identify themselves and connect with like-minded individuals, regardless of organizational structure.

Tarrio's continued claims of leadership matter primarily for maintaining the brand and the narrative around the organization. Whether he's actually directing anything is almost beside the point.

Internal Instability and the Absence of Charismatic Leadership - visual representation
Internal Instability and the Absence of Charismatic Leadership - visual representation

Proud Boys' Activities During Trump's First Term
Proud Boys' Activities During Trump's First Term

Estimated data shows the Proud Boys were most active in confronting BLM protesters (30%) and attending Trump rallies (25%), highlighting their role in creating media narratives. Estimated data.

The Broader Ecosystem of Far-Right Extremism and Adaptation

The Proud Boys' obsolescence is just one part of a larger shift in how far-right extremism is organizing and operating. Other groups in the ecosystem are adapting differently.

Active Clubs, for example, have been using the Minneapolis protests and ICE crackdown as a recruitment opportunity. These groups mask white nationalist ideology in a veneer of fitness, male bonding, and community service. Rather than direct street confrontation, they're trying to build parallel social structures that can embed extremist ideology more deeply into communities.

This is actually a more sophisticated approach than what the Proud Boys were doing. It's less vulnerable to law enforcement because it's not explicitly organized around political violence. It builds social networks that can sustain extremist ideology across generations. And it aligns perfectly with the current political moment where the state itself is implementing policies that align with extremist ideology.

Other militia groups have shifted toward armed standoffs at the border, where they can position themselves as defending the nation against invasion. This gives them a specific role that doesn't directly compete with federal enforcement. Instead, they can frame themselves as supplementing federal efforts, providing surveillance and intelligence that ICE can act on.

Some far-right groups have moved into electoral politics, trying to take over local and state institutions from within. Others have focused on cultural influence, trying to shape narratives and media representations. The ecosystem is diverse and adaptive.

But the common thread is that all of these approaches are compatible with—and actually benefit from—the militarization of federal enforcement. When the state is implementing white nationalist policies, far-right groups can focus on consolidating power, building social networks, and positioning themselves for long-term influence rather than on direct street action.

The Proud Boys, stuck in the street militia model, are the dinosaurs in this ecosystem. Not because their ideology has been rejected, but because their methods have become obsolete.

The Danger of State-Aligned Extremism

There's a tendency in political discourse to treat militia movements as the primary threat to democracy. If we can just suppress the militias, the argument goes, we've solved the extremism problem.

But the actual danger is when extremist ideology becomes aligned with state power. When federal institutions adopt the values, rhetoric, and policy objectives of extremist movements, that's not a victory for democracy. That's the installation of authoritarianism.

The Proud Boys matter much less when they're state-aligned. In fact, a Proud Boy shooting someone on the street is actually less dangerous than a federal agent doing the same thing, because the federal agent has the entire apparatus of government behind them, providing justification and legal cover.

What we're seeing is the normalization of political violence at the state level. The administration isn't hiding this. It's posting coded messages in official channels. It's directing federal enforcement agencies to pursue ideologically-motivated campaigns. It's explicitly signaling alignment with white nationalist movements.

And as long as the state is doing this, independent militia groups remain irrelevant. But they're also not going anywhere. They're just waiting for the next phase, when they might be needed again in a direct way.

The real danger is the state apparatus itself, now organized around extremist ideology and willing to deploy violence against populations deemed threats. The Proud Boys' obsolescence is actually a sign that the threat has evolved, not that it's diminished.

The Danger of State-Aligned Extremism - visual representation
The Danger of State-Aligned Extremism - visual representation

The Legal Architecture of Impunity

One reason federal agents can operate with so little accountability is the legal framework that governs immigration enforcement. ICE operates in a space where civil liberties protections are significantly reduced.

Immigrants, regardless of status, are supposed to have basic constitutional protections. But enforcement agencies have operated for years in ways that minimize these protections. Vehicle stops that wouldn't be legal in other contexts are standard. Searches that would require warrants in other circumstances are routine. The legal barriers that normally constrain police power are substantially lower when immigration enforcement is involved.

This creates a perfect environment for the deployment of state violence without meaningful accountability. An agent can shoot someone during an arrest, and the legal review process is different than it would be in a normal criminal case. The victim's immigration status itself can be used to justify the shooting (arguing that the person was a threat, was resisting, was dangerous).

The Trump administration has explicitly signaled that it will not pursue aggressive oversight of ICE operations. Resources will instead be directed toward expanding ICE's power and enforcement reach.

This legal and administrative architecture is precisely what far-right extremists have been advocating for for years. They want immigration enforcement without constitutional constraints. They want the power to target specific populations without legal accountability. The current administration is delivering exactly that.

The Proud Boys don't need to fight for this anymore. The legal structure is already being built. The institutions are already being empowered. Their ideological allies are in control.

All they have to do is exist and wait to be useful again.

Proud Boys' Reaction to Federal Violence
Proud Boys' Reaction to Federal Violence

Estimated data shows that the majority of Proud Boys' reactions were celebratory, with minimal criticism or support for the victim.

Communications and Coordination Across Extremist Networks

A detailed analysis of Telegram channels used by Proud Boy chapters, militia groups, and white nationalist movements reveals how coordination happens in a decentralized ecosystem. These aren't official channels with clear command structure. They're more like a distributed network of loosely affiliated groups sharing ideology, tactics, and information.

When ICE operations ramp up, information flows across these channels. Members share posts about where operations are happening, which neighborhoods are being targeted, which communities are at risk. This intelligence sharing has obvious value for the federal government, which can use community-level information to more effectively target enforcement operations.

When the administration posts coded messages, these get interpreted and spread across the networks. The meaning is clarified for those who don't immediately understand the dog-whistle. The unified ideological framework is reinforced.

When specific influencers produce propaganda, their content gets shared and amplified through these channels. The networks serve as a distribution system for narratives that support the administration's policies.

Telegram, a messaging platform designed to protect user privacy, has become the central infrastructure for coordinating extremist ideology and information sharing. The platform's encryption and relative resistance to mainstream social media moderation has made it essential infrastructure for far-right movements.

What's notable about the coordination we're seeing is how little explicit direction there is. These channels are largely self-organizing. Members post content, others amplify or respond, patterns emerge naturally. There's no central planning, no explicit orders. Just ideological alignment and shared interests creating coordinated behavior.

This is actually more resilient than hierarchical organization. If there were a clear leadership structure giving explicit orders, law enforcement could target the leadership. But in a distributed network where everyone is self-organizing around shared ideology, there's no single point of failure.

The administration benefits from this architecture because it allows for coordination without explicit state direction. The FBI can't prove the administration is coordinating with extremists if the coordination happens through ideological alignment rather than explicit communication.

But it's coordination nonetheless. It's just laundered through shared values and distributed networks rather than through explicit command channels.

Communications and Coordination Across Extremist Networks - visual representation
Communications and Coordination Across Extremist Networks - visual representation

The Role of Dehumanizing Rhetoric in Enabling State Violence

One thing that emerges clearly from analysis of extremist channels is the extent to which dehumanizing rhetoric precedes and enables state violence. Before the state commits violence against a population, the ideological groundwork has been laid through years of rhetoric portraying that population as a threat, as less than human, as deserving of violence.

The Proud Boys and similar groups have spent years producing this dehumanizing rhetoric around immigrants. They've portrayed immigration as an "invasion." They've used disease metaphors, crime metaphors, military metaphors. They've systematically worked to create a cultural narrative in which violence against immigrants is not just justified but necessary.

When federal agents then deploy that violence, they're not acting in a vacuum. They're acting in a culture that has been deliberately primed to accept or even celebrate that violence.

The AI-generated memes mocking the victim of the Minneapolis shooting represent the culmination of this process. Years of rhetoric about immigrants being invaders, criminals, and threats have created a cultural context in which the death of an immigrant can be a source of celebration rather than concern.

This is how democracies slip into authoritarianism. It's not usually a sudden coup. It's a gradual process where rhetoric changes first, dehumanization follows, and violence becomes normalized. By the time people notice that the state is committing atrocities, the cultural groundwork has already been laid.

The Proud Boys aren't organizing this transition directly. They're just contributing to it. They're part of the ecosystem that creates the cultural conditions in which state violence becomes acceptable.

And the distribution of labor is efficient: the Proud Boys and similar groups produce the rhetoric and the culture. The administration absorbs that cultural shift and translates it into policy and enforcement. Everyone benefits from this arrangement except, of course, the populations being targeted.

Future Scenarios and the Evolution of State-Aligned Extremism

Where does this go from here? A few scenarios seem plausible.

First, the current equilibrium could persist. The Proud Boys remain largely dormant, functioning as a cultural identity and online community rather than as an operational militia. The administration continues to use federal enforcement to pursue white nationalist policy objectives. There's no immediate crisis or escalation, just the slow normalization of state violence and extremist ideology integration.

Second, the Proud Boys could experience a resurgence if the administration feels it needs organized street-level support. If protests escalate, if there's organized resistance to federal enforcement, if the administration decides it needs militia support for specific operations, then the Proud Boys could mobilize again. Their current dormancy doesn't mean they're gone. It just means they're not needed right now.

Third, more sophisticated far-right organizations could displace the Proud Boys as the preferred militia model. Groups that are better organized, more ideologically coherent, and less publicly visible might become more valuable. The Active Clubs model of embedding extremism in community structures might prove more durable than street militia confrontations.

Fourth, the entire ecosystem of far-right extremism could integrate more fully into state institutions. Rather than existing as a separate movement that sometimes coordinates with the state, extremist ideology could become normalized within federal agencies, law enforcement, and military institutions. This is actually the most dangerous scenario because it means extremism is no longer even recognizable as such. It's just standard government practice.

Each of these scenarios is compatible with the current trajectory. The Proud Boys' obsolescence isn't a permanent condition. It's a temporary alignment where the government is doing what they want done. If that changes, if the political moment shifts, if new threats emerge, the militia could become relevant again.

But for now, the message is clear: in a political moment where the state itself has become the instrument of extremist ideology, independent militia groups are redundant. The government has absorbed their function. Extremists don't need to fight for power anymore. They have it.

Future Scenarios and the Evolution of State-Aligned Extremism - visual representation
Future Scenarios and the Evolution of State-Aligned Extremism - visual representation

Shift in Sources of Political Violence
Shift in Sources of Political Violence

Estimated data suggests a shift from militia groups to state institutions as primary sources of political violence, with state institutions now playing a larger role.

Implications for Democratic Institutions and Civil Liberties

The integration of extremist ideology into federal enforcement has profound implications for democratic institutions and the rule of law. When federal agencies are explicitly organized around white nationalist ideology, when legal frameworks are constructed to enable violence against specific populations, when the administration openly signals alignment with extremist movements—the basic structures of democracy are under threat.

Democracy depends on neutral institutions that apply rules fairly across all people. When institutions become ideological instruments, when they're directed toward specific populations, when they're organized around the interests of a particular movement or ideology, the system stops being a democracy.

What we're seeing is the installation of what might be called "extremist authoritarianism"—a system where extremist ideology is not opposed by state power but expressed through it. The state becomes the enforcement mechanism for extremist values.

The courts have a role to play in checking this. Civil rights litigation can challenge the constitutionality of politically-motivated enforcement. But courts are also part of the system, and they depend on a broader culture of constitutional respect. When the administration is openly flouting constitutional norms, when federal officials are explicitly signaling contempt for civil liberties protections, courts have limited ability to constrain the power.

Congress theoretically has oversight authority over federal agencies. But when Congress is controlled by the same party as the administration, when that party is ideologically aligned with extremism, congressional oversight becomes a formality rather than a check.

The press has a role in exposing what's happening. But mainstream media outlets have been notably slow to characterize what's occurring as authoritarian. They're still using the language of "border security" and "immigration enforcement" even when what's happening is clearly state violence in service of extremist ideology.

What we have is a situation where the institutional checks and balances that normally protect democracy are failing precisely when they're most needed. And the Proud Boys, though obsolete as a militia, symbolize something deeper: the degree to which extremism has moved from the margins to the center of political power.

The International Context and Comparative Authoritarianism

It's instructive to look at how extremist movements have operated in other countries when they've gained state support. The pattern is remarkably consistent.

In Hungary, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has systematically aligned the state with nationalist, anti-immigrant ideology. Independent militias have become less necessary because the state itself implements nationalist enforcement. Civil liberties have been systematically reduced through legal changes. The courts have been captured. The media has been brought under control. And the entire apparatus of government has been reorganized around a specific ideological vision.

In Brazil, far-right president Jair Bolsonaro's government aligned state power with militias and militia-adjacent organizations. Federal agencies received explicit direction to pursue ideologically-motivated enforcement. The military and police became aligned with extremist ideology. Civil liberties protections were eroded through administrative action.

In the Philippines, President Rodrigo Duterte's administration openly aligned with vigilante violence, with police encouraged to commit extrajudicial killings against drug users. The state became the enforcement mechanism for violent extremism.

Across these cases, a pattern emerges: when extremist movements gain state power, they don't need independent militia organizations. The state becomes the militia. Civil liberties are eroded. Legal frameworks are changed to enable violence. And the entire apparatus of government is redirected toward serving extremist ideology.

The Proud Boys' obsolescence fits perfectly within this pattern. The American version is somewhat different in style and rhetoric from the Hungarian, Brazilian, or Philippine versions. But the underlying logic is identical: extremism becomes state policy, law enforcement becomes ideological, and independent militia groups become unnecessary because the government does their work.

Understanding this comparative context is important because it helps us recognize what's happening. The signs are clear. The pattern is well-established. And the trajectory is predictable if not interrupted.

The International Context and Comparative Authoritarianism - visual representation
The International Context and Comparative Authoritarianism - visual representation

What Happened to the Rule of Law

One of the most striking aspects of the current moment is the absence of serious legal checks on executive power. Federal agents can shoot people. The administration can post extremist messaging. The legal system doesn't effectively constrain any of this.

Part of the problem is the legal framework itself. The entire system of immigration law is designed in a way that concentrates power in the executive branch and minimizes individual rights. Congress delegated massive enforcement discretion to the executive. The courts have been deferential to immigration enforcement decisions. And the constitutional protections that apply in criminal law apply only weakly in immigration law.

But part of the problem is also that the rule of law requires a culture of legal respect that's currently absent. When the administration openly posts extremist messaging, when federal officials openly embrace ideology that's fundamentally incompatible with democratic values, when there's no internal resistance from institutions designed to check executive power—the rule of law breaks down.

The FBI presumably has evidence of coordination between federal agencies and extremist movements. The Justice Department has the authority to investigate civil rights violations by federal agents. Congress has the power to issue subpoenas and hold hearings. But none of these institutions are effectively constraining the executive.

Why? Partly because of political alignment. Partly because the administration has signaled that it will not accept constraints on its power. And partly because the culture of legal restraint that once held has broken down.

What we're seeing is the installation of executive power without meaningful legal or institutional checks. The law still exists on paper. But its enforcement is selective and its application is ideologically motivated.

The Proud Boys, once militias that operated in a legal gray zone while the state maintained official neutrality, are now completely irrelevant because the state itself has moved into that gray zone. The executive is now operating without meaningful legal constraint.

The Question of Resistance and What Comes Next

Given all of this, what options exist for resisting the integration of extremism into state power? The question is genuinely difficult because the normal institutional checks have either failed or been captured.

Court challenges can slow things down, but courts are not the primary levers of power. Legislative resistance is blocked by political alignment. Media pressure has limited effect when a significant portion of the media is aligned with extremist ideology.

What remains is popular resistance. If enough people take to the streets, if enough people refuse to cooperate with unjust policies, if enough people build alternative institutions and social networks—there's a possibility of constraining executive power.

But this requires organization and coordination. It requires the kind of sustained, mass movements that are difficult to build and maintain. And it requires resisting a state apparatus that has shown it's willing to use violence to suppress dissent.

The anti-ICE protests in Minneapolis are one example of this kind of resistance. People showed up. They made their objections clear. They created political costs for the administration.

But the state's response has been to deploy more enforcement, not less. The presence of a federal agent shooting someone is the state's answer to protest. The administration reads this as evidence that more force is needed, not less.

The question of what comes next depends on whether popular resistance can scale up sufficiently to create real constraints on executive power. Given the alignment between the administration and significant portions of the political establishment, and given the administration's demonstrated willingness to use state force against dissent, this is a genuinely uncertain situation.

What's clear is that the normal institutions of democratic constraint are not doing their job. The courts are deferential. Congress is aligned. The media is divided. The rule of law is eroded. And the administration is exploiting every opening to consolidate power.

The Proud Boys' obsolescence, while strategically interesting, is not the main story. The main story is that the state itself has become what the Proud Boys were trying to become: an instrument of extremist ideology, willing to use violence, operating without meaningful legal constraint, and explicitly aligned with white nationalist movements.

The Question of Resistance and What Comes Next - visual representation
The Question of Resistance and What Comes Next - visual representation

The Collapse of Democratic Norms and the Normalization of Extremism

Democracies don't usually die suddenly. They usually die through the gradual erosion of norms, the slow normalization of previously unthinkable behavior, and the systematic dismantling of institutional checks on power.

What we're seeing right now is this process in action. The administration posts extremist messaging openly. Federal agents use violence without accountability. Ideological alignment replaces legal restraint. And people become gradually inured to behavior that would have been shocking just a few years ago.

The Proud Boys served a function in this process. By creating street-level political violence, they helped normalize the idea that there are legitimate sides to civil conflict that require armed confrontation. They helped create the cultural context in which violence became an acceptable political tool.

Now that the state itself is taking on this role, the Proud Boys can fade into the background. But the process of normalization continues. Each new instance of state violence makes the next one easier. Each erosion of legal norms makes the next erosion easier to justify. The culture of democratic respect slowly erodes.

And by the time people realize what's happened—that the democratic norms that protected them have been dismantled, that the institutions that were supposed to check power have been captured, that the rule of law is a fiction—it's already too late to restore them.

The Proud Boys' obsolescence is a sign of how far this process has already advanced. They're not needed anymore because the state has already moved into the space they were trying to occupy.

Conclusion: Extremism Without Opposition

The Proud Boys don't matter anymore. Not because their ideology has been defeated or because democratic institutions have prevailed against them. They don't matter because the state has adopted their ideology and is now implementing it directly.

This is in some ways worse than open militia activity. When extremist groups operate independently, there's at least the possibility of opposing them, of fighting back, of exposing their ideology. But when extremism becomes state policy, when the apparatus of government is organized around extremist values, when federal power is deployed in service of those values—resistance becomes much more difficult.

The administration hasn't hidden what it's doing. It's posted extremist messaging from official accounts. It's directed enforcement toward ideologically-motivated targets. It's explicitly signaled alignment with white nationalist movements. None of this is hidden or deniable.

But transparency about authoritarianism doesn't make it less authoritarian. If anything, it's more dangerous because it signals confidence. The administration isn't worried about being called out because it knows that the normal institutions of accountability have either failed or been captured.

The Proud Boys will probably resurface at some point. If the political moment changes, if organized resistance emerges, if the state feels it needs militia support again—they'll mobilize. But for now, they're waiting. They're monitoring Telegram. They're celebrating the violence of federal agents. They're posting memes. And they're watching as the government implements exactly the vision of American society they've been advocating for.

This is what state-aligned extremism looks like. It's efficient, organized, and incredibly dangerous. And unlike independent militia movements, it's actually very difficult to stop because it comes with the full authority and apparatus of government behind it.

The future depends on whether institutions can recover their commitment to legal norms, whether the courts can reassert protections for civil liberties, whether Congress can reassert oversight, and whether civil society can build sufficient resistance to create constraints on executive power. None of these things are guaranteed. And the trajectory right now suggests movement in the opposite direction.

The Proud Boys' obsolescence is the canary in the coal mine. It's a sign that extremism has moved from the margins to the center. And the real danger isn't what's visible. It's what comes next when the state feels confident enough to move beyond coded messaging and explicit alignment to actual authoritarianism.

We're not there yet. But we're moving in that direction. And understanding how we got here—through the gradual normalization of extremism, the erosion of democratic norms, and the integration of far-right ideology into state power—is essential for understanding what might come next and how to resist it.


Conclusion: Extremism Without Opposition - visual representation
Conclusion: Extremism Without Opposition - visual representation

FAQ

What is the relationship between the Proud Boys and federal law enforcement?

Historically, the Proud Boys operated as an independent militia that supported Trump's agenda through street-level political action. However, as the Trump administration has militarized federal immigration enforcement and explicitly adopted white nationalist rhetoric, the Proud Boys have become largely redundant. Federal agents now perform the enforcement and intimidation functions that the Proud Boys once provided, making independent militia activity unnecessary.

How does the administration communicate with extremist movements?

The administration uses coded messaging that carries specific meaning within white nationalist and extremist circles. For example, the Department of Homeland Security posted "We'll have our home again," a phrase that references a song popular in white nationalist communities. These coded messages signal ideological alignment while maintaining plausible deniability in mainstream discourse. The administration openly embraces policies that align with extremist ideology while using language that appears neutral to mainstream audiences.

Why haven't the Proud Boys mobilized in response to federal overreach?

The Proud Boys haven't mobilized because they view federal immigration enforcement as implementing their ideological agenda, not as overreach. When federal agents conduct raids targeting immigrant communities, the Proud Boys celebrate rather than oppose this action. From their perspective, the government is doing the work they've advocated for, eliminating the need for independent militia action. This represents a fundamental shift in the relationship between extremist movements and state power.

What is the danger of state-aligned extremism compared to independent militia movements?

State-aligned extremism is significantly more dangerous than independent militia activity because it comes with the full authority, resources, and legal protections of government institutions. When extremism is embedded within federal agencies, violence can be committed with institutional cover and legal justification. Civil liberties protections are weaker in immigration enforcement than in normal criminal law, creating space for extensive abuses. Additionally, state-aligned extremism is difficult to oppose because it operates under the facade of legitimate law enforcement.

How does the militarization of ICE serve the administration's political objectives?

Militarizing ICE serves multiple objectives simultaneously: it implements the administration's immigration policy, it provides a federally-sanctioned enforcement mechanism for white nationalist ideology, it eliminates the need for parallel extremist organizations, and it achieves these goals while maintaining the legal fiction of neutral law enforcement. The militarization includes increased weapons, paramilitary tactics, reduced civil liberties protections for enforcement activities, and explicit ideological direction from the administration.

What role do right-wing influencers play in supporting federal enforcement?

Right-wing influencers produce propaganda content portraying ICE operations as heroic and necessary, helping to normalize federal enforcement in the eyes of the broader public. They provide real-time coverage of ICE raids, frame immigration enforcement as a battle for national survival, and create narratives that justify increasingly aggressive federal action. This content is distributed through social media and serves to build public support for policies while avoiding the appearance of direct government propaganda.

What happened to institutional checks on executive power?

Institutional checks on executive power have largely failed. The courts have been deferential to immigration enforcement decisions due to longstanding legal doctrine. Congress, when controlled by the president's party, provides no meaningful oversight. The media is divided, with significant portions aligned with the administration. And the administration has signaled it will not accept constraints on its power. Without functioning institutional checks, executive power operates with minimal restraint.

How does this compare to authoritarianism in other countries?

The current American trajectory mirrors patterns seen in countries like Hungary, Brazil, and the Philippines, where extremist movements have gained state power. In each case, independent militias become less necessary because the state adopts their ideology and implements it directly. Civil liberties are eroded through legal and administrative changes. The courts are captured or become deferential. And the apparatus of government is reorganized around extremist values. Understanding these international comparisons helps clarify what's happening domestically.

What options exist for resisting this trajectory?

Resistance options are limited given the failure of institutional checks. Popular mobilization through mass protest, organization of alternative institutions, and refusal to cooperate with unjust policies represent possibilities. However, these face significant obstacles including a militarized state apparatus willing to use force against dissent, media fragmentation, and political alignment between the administration and significant portions of the establishment. The capacity for effective resistance depends on building sufficient popular movement to create real constraints on executive power.

What is the future of the Proud Boys and similar organizations?

The Proud Boys are likely to remain dormant as long as the administration continues to implement white nationalist policies through federal enforcement. However, if the political moment changes or if the administration feels it needs militia support for specific operations, these groups could resurface. More sophisticated far-right organizations using different models (like Active Clubs) may displace the Proud Boys as preferred partners. The ultimate trajectory depends on whether democratic institutions can recover their commitment to legal norms and whether civil society can build sufficient resistance to constrain executive power.

How has the legal framework enabled this shift?

Immigration law is structured in a way that concentrates power in the executive branch and minimizes individual rights. Civil liberties protections are substantially weaker in immigration enforcement than in normal criminal law. Congress delegated broad enforcement discretion to the executive decades ago. Courts have been deferential to immigration enforcement decisions. This legal framework creates space for extensive executive action with minimal judicial review or congressional oversight, particularly when the administration is willing to push legal boundaries and Congress is unwilling to check executive power.


Key Takeaways

  • The Proud Boys have become strategically obsolete not because their ideology was defeated but because the Trump administration has absorbed their enforcement function into federal institutions.
  • Federal immigration enforcement has become explicitly organized around white nationalist ideology, with coded messaging directly signaling alignment with extremist movements.
  • Analysis of hundreds of Proud Boy Telegram channels shows virtually no mobilization in response to the Minneapolis shooting, only celebration of federal violence.
  • State-aligned extremism is significantly more dangerous than independent militia violence because it operates with institutional cover, legal protections, and government resources.
  • The integration of extremist ideology into federal enforcement represents a fundamental shift in how political violence operates and democratic norms erode in advanced democracies.

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